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Monday · July 20 ✦

TIGERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field.

Final

TIGERS 8
Cubs 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–6 Tigers

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 65% 35% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 4–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 38% 62%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 38% 62%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

75–47

61% across 122 games

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games