Friday · July 17 · 7:05 pm ✦
TWINS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
TWINS
5
Cubs
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–2 Twins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games