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Sunday · July 5 · 1:35 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

Cardinals 4
CUBS 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–6 Cubs

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 47% 53%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 36% 64%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 41% 59% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

46–39

54% across 85 games

Cubs this season

39–46

46% across 85 games