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Saturday · July 18 · 1:21 PM ✦

TWINS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph l to r

Final

Twins 2
CUBS 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–6 Cubs

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 49% 51%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 46% 54%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

65–59

52% across 124 games

Cubs this season

61–63

49% across 124 games