Saturday · July 4 · 7:08 pm ✦
CARDINALS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 69 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf
Final
CARDINALS
3
Cubs
0
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–0 Cardinals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cardinals | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games