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Friday · July 3 · 3:15 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 77 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf

Final

CARDINALS 17
Cubs 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 17–1 Cardinals

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 36% 64% 4–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 47% 53%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 27% 73%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

46–39

54% across 85 games

Cubs this season

39–46

46% across 85 games