Wednesday · July 1 · 1:20 PM ✦
PADRES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 92 degrees, sunny, wind 12 mph out to cf
Final
Padres
3
CUBS
23
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–23 Cubs
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 40% | 60% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
54–29
65% across 83 games
Cubs this season
39–46
46% across 85 games