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Tuesday · June 30 · 7:05 pm ✦

PADRES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 92 degrees, clear, wind 16 mph out to cf

Final

Padres 7
CUBS 9

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–9 Cubs

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 33% 67% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 3–4
Logistic San Diego Padres 51% 49%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 35% 65%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

54–29

65% across 83 games

Cubs this season

39–46

46% across 85 games