Tuesday · June 30 · 7:05 pm ✦
PADRES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 92 degrees, clear, wind 16 mph out to cf
Final
Padres
7
CUBS
9
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–9 Cubs
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games