Monday · June 29 · 7:05 pm ✦
PADRES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf
Final
Padres
2
CUBS
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–3 Cubs
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Logistic | San Diego Padres | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games