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Friday · June 19 · 1:20 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

Blue Jays 2
CUBS 16

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–16 Cubs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 52% 48%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 44% 56%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games

Cubs this season

40–46

47% across 86 games