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Friday · June 19 · 1:20 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph l to r

Final

Blue Jays 2
CUBS 16

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–16 Cubs

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games