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Saturday · June 20 · 1:20 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

BLUE JAYS 8
Cubs 6

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–6 Blue Jays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 4–5
Logistic Chicago Cubs 45% 55%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 33% 67%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 4–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

42–45

48% across 87 games

Cubs this season

40–46

47% across 86 games