Wednesday · June 3 · 7:05 pm ✦
ATHLETICS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from rf
Final
ATHLETICS
5
Cubs
4
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–4 Athletics
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Athletics | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Athletics | 62% | 38% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
50–36
58% across 86 games
Cubs this season
40–46
47% across 86 games