Saturday · May 23 · 1:20 pm ✦
ASTROS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from cf
Final
ASTROS
3
Cubs
0
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–0 Astros
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games