Sunday · May 24 · 1:20 pm ✦
ASTROS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 62 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from rf
Final
ASTROS
8
Cubs
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–5 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–5 Astros
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 22% | 78% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | 3–5 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games