Tuesday · May 19 ✦
BREWERS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field.
Final
BREWERS
5
Cubs
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–2 Brewers
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 25% | 75% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–69
57% across 161 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games