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Wednesday · May 20 · 6:39 PM ✦

BREWERS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 56 degrees, clear, wind 15 mph in from rf

Final

BREWERS 5
Cubs 0

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 5–0 Brewers

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 33% 67%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 43% 57% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Cubs this season

21–24

47% across 45 games