Monday · May 18 · 6:40 PM ✦
BREWERS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to cf
Final
BREWERS
9
Cubs
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 9–3 Brewers
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 25% | 75% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Milwaukee Brewers | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
25–17
60% across 42 games
Cubs this season
21–24
47% across 45 games