Thursday · May 7 · 1:20 PM ✦
REDS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 54 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l
Final
Reds
3
CUBS
8
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–8 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | 4–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Cubs this season
21–24
47% across 45 games