Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 52 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from rf
Final
Reds
2
CUBS
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–3 Cubs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games