Wednesday · May 6 ✦
REDS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field.
Final
Reds
6
CUBS
7
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–7 Cubs
61%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 33% | 67% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 29% | 71% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 39% | 61% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games