Monday · May 4 · 6:10 pm ✦
REDS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 76 degrees, cloudy, wind 14 mph out to cf
Final
Reds
4
CUBS
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–10 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–5 Cubs
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 2% | 98% | 4–15 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 2% | 98% | 4–16 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 77% | 23% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 37% | 63% | 4–10 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games