Saturday · May 2 · 1:20 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 50 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from cf
Final
D-backs
0
CUBS
2
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 7–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 0–2 Cubs
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 75% | 25% | 6–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 6–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 75% | 25% | 8–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76% | 24% | 6–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 27% | 73% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58% | 42% | 7–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games