Friday · May 1 · 1:20 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 44 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph in from cf
Final
D-backs
5
CUBS
6
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 7–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 5–6 Cubs
62%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 78% | 22% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 73% | 27% | 6–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 82% | 18% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76% | 24% | 7–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 62% | 38% | 7–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games