Sunday · May 3 · 1:20 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 58 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
D-backs
4
CUBS
8
Our Pick
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
✗ WrongProjected: 7–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–8 Cubs
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 76% | 24% | 6–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 7–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 65% | 35% | 7–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 84% | 16% | 7–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 7–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
26–18
59% across 44 games
Cubs this season
21–24
47% across 45 games