Thursday · April 23 · 1:20 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph r to l
Final
Phillies
7
CUBS
8
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 7–8 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games