Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 70 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to rf
Final
Phillies
4
CUBS
7
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 4–7 Cubs
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 34% | 66% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games