Monday · April 20 ✦
PHILLIES @ CUBS
Wrigley Field.
Final
Phillies
1
CUBS
5
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–5 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
31–15
67% across 46 games
Cubs this season
21–26
45% across 47 games