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Monday · April 20 ✦

PHILLIES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field.

Final

Phillies 1
CUBS 5

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 1–5 Cubs

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 48% 52%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 32% 68%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 46% 54% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games