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Saturday · April 18 · 1:20 pm ✦

METS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 48 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph in from cf

Final

Mets 2
CUBS 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–4 Cubs

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 50% 50%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 24% 76%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games