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Friday · April 10 · 1:20 PM ✦

PIRATES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 49 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph in from lf

Final

PIRATES 2
Cubs 0

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 2–0 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Chicago Cubs 45% 55%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 41% 59%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 45% 55% 4–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games