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Sunday · April 12 · 1:20 pm ✦

PIRATES @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 26 mph out to lf

Final

Pirates 6
CUBS 7

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–7 Cubs

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic Chicago Cubs 42% 58%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 27% 73%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 42% 58% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games