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Sunday · March 29 · 1:20 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ CUBS

Wrigley Field. · 53 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

NATIONALS 6
Cubs 3

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–3 Nationals

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Cubs Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 25% 75% 2–5
Pitcher-weighted Chicago Cubs 31% 69% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 36% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 22% 78% 3–5
Logistic Chicago Cubs 46% 54%
Random Forest Washington Nationals 70% 30%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 41% 59% 3–5
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

27–21

56% across 48 games

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games