Sunday · March 29 · 1:20 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ CUBS
Wrigley Field. · 53 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf
Final
NATIONALS
6
Cubs
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–5 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 6–3 Nationals
59%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Cubs | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 25% | 75% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 31% | 69% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 36% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 22% | 78% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 70% | 30% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 41% | 59% | 3–5 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–21
56% across 48 games
Cubs this season
21–26
45% across 47 games