Friday · September 25 · 1:06 PM ✦
CUBS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 65 degrees, cloudy, wind 14 mph in from rf
Final
Cubs
3
RED SOX
4
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 3–4 Red Sox
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games