Friday · September 25 · 5:35 PM ✦
CUBS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 66 degrees, cloudy, wind 20 mph in from cf
Final
Cubs
0
RED SOX
2
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 0–2 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games