Thursday · September 24 · 6:47 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 58 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
GUARDIANS
1
Red Sox
0
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–0 Guardians
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games