← Back to the recap

Sunday · September 13 · 4:55 PM ✦

ROYALS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 67 degrees, cloudy, wind 2 mph in from rf

Final

Royals 1
RED SOX 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–4 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 69% 31% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games