Tuesday · September 22 · 6:45 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 62 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph varies
Final
GUARDIANS
3
Red Sox
2
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–2 Guardians
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 64% | 36% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games