Wednesday · September 23 · 7:10 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 59 degrees, cloudy, wind 16 mph in from cf
Final
Guardians
0
RED SOX
1
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 0–1 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games