Friday · September 11 · 7:10 pm ✦
ROYALS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 71 degrees, clear, wind 6 mph l to r
Final
ROYALS
3
Red Sox
2
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 3–2 Royals
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 33% | 67% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games