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Saturday · September 12 · 4:12 PM ✦

ROYALS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

Royals 1
RED SOX 5

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–5 Red Sox

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 38% 62% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 39% 61% — ✓
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 42% 58% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 39% 61% 3–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games