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Wednesday · September 9 · 6:45 pm ✦

ANGELS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 73 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

ANGELS 6
Red Sox 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 6–4 Angels

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 2–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 2–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 31% 69% 2–4 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 61% 39% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games