Tuesday · September 1 · 6:45 pm ✦
MARINERS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 65 degrees, overcast, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
MARINERS
9
Red Sox
6
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, comfortably
✓ CorrectProjected: 8–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 9–6 Mariners
70%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 89% | 11% | 12–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 98% | 2% | 12–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 66% | 34% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 70% | 30% | 8–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games