Wednesday · September 2 · 4:11 PM ✦
MARINERS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 71 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
MARINERS
8
Red Sox
3
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–3 Mariners
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 29% | 71% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games