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Saturday · August 22 · 7:15 pm ✦

GIANTS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 68 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph in from cf

Final

Giants 2
RED SOX 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 2–3 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 52% 48% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games