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Monday · August 31 · 6:45 PM ✦

MARINERS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 75 degrees, cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

Mariners 8
RED SOX 9

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–9 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Boston Red Sox 46% 54% — ✓
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 36% 64% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 48% 52% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

87–67

56% across 154 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games