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Sunday · August 23 · 3:16 PM ✦

GIANTS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 70 degrees, overcast, wind 1 mph out to rf

Final

Giants 4
RED SOX 5

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–5 Red Sox

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 36% 64% 2–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 38% 62% — ✓
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 46% 54% — ✓
Consensus Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games