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Friday · August 21 · 7:10 pm ✦

GIANTS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from cf

Final

Giants 4
RED SOX 6

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–6 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 3–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 53% 47%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 49% 51%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

72–49

60% across 121 games

Red Sox this season

66–56

54% across 122 games