Wednesday · August 19 · 4:11 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph out to rf
Final
D-BACKS
7
Red Sox
6
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 7–6 D-backs
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
69–53
57% across 122 games
Red Sox this season
66–56
54% across 122 games