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Tuesday · August 18 · 7:10 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

D-backs 4
RED SOX 9

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–9 Red Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49%
Random Forest Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

69–53

57% across 122 games

Red Sox this season

66–56

54% across 122 games