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Sunday · August 9 · 1:36 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

ATHLETICS 4
Red Sox 3

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–3 Athletics

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 33% 67% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 49% 51%
Random Forest Athletics 61% 39%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

73–51

59% across 124 games

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games