Monday · August 17 · 7:10 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 74 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from cf
Final
D-backs
1
RED SOX
11
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–11 Red Sox
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Arizona Diamondbacks | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games